Thursday, August 9, 2012

Watching the Electoral College again


 So here I am watching the colors shift on the map.  But they aren't shifting as much as he needs right now, thank the Deity-of-Personal-Preference.

Colorado moves to the undecided column,
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2012/romney-vs-obama-electoral-map

while Wisconsin leaned further toward Obama

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2012-wisconsin-president-romney-vs-obama?gem

"New swing-state polls slightly less favorable to Obama: The latest round of  New York Times/CBS/Quinnipiac polls is out today, and the topline is less favorable then the last round, though still encouraging for the president. Obama has a four-point lead in Virginia (49%-45%) and a six-point lead in Wisconsin (51-45), while Romney has a five-point lead in  Colorado 50-45). The Times credits white working class males as providing key support for Romney.

The Colorado number is disappointing for Obama, and the Wisconsin number should also cause a  little concern (especially with Republicans running ads in Wisconsin, suggesting they think it’s in play). Nevertheless, as with last week’s numbers, there appears to be little room for either candidate to shift the numbers: only between four and six percent of voters  in each state are undecided, and only eight to nine percent say they might change their vote."

If the HuffingtonPost map is accurate, then the real key element is this at the moment:  even if Romney  won all the states currently shown as "toss up", he'd lose. 

So I think the Republicans are going to push as close to the fiscal cliff disaster as they can, because the closer it gets, the more the economy is going to slow down, according to the University of Maryland's  Peter Morici.  More on this REALLY soon.

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