I heard
just prior to the Stanley Cup playoffs 2012 starting that something like 23 of
64 (68?) first round pairings over the last couple of years had resulted in a
lower seed beating a higher seed.
Sometimes a drastically lower seed, like a #8, defeating a #1. It happens very commonly. Herewith three possible reasons why.
Goaltending
– if a goalie gets hot, and it happens, they can dominate every game. It’s not like baseball, where a dominant
pitcher can only go once every three or four games. And if the lower-seeded team’s goalie is the
one that gets hot, shots that normally go in end up not going in.
Penalties
– there are hardly any other sports (lacrosse is one, possibly) where a penalty
results in a clear offensive advantage.
That’s what power plays do in hockey.
Just a couple of successful power plays by the lower-seeded team can win
a game against the higher seed.
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