Huffington Post Electoral College Math

2012 Electoral Math - Obama's Debate Cliff

"Out of the 11 states up for grabs and their 131 EV, Obama now needs a lot more than he used to -- 33 EV in all. Winning Florida and New Hampshire would do this for him, as would winning Ohio, Virginia, and one additional state. He's still got many paths to victory, although he's now got  to pile up more electoral votes to get there.

Mitt Romney has to win 100 EV of the total 131 EV within reach, which is a mighty tall order.  Romney would need all his Lean, all the Too Close To Call, and a further 9 EV from Lean Obama  to win. Romney would have to either Ohio or Wisconsin to put him over the top.

At this point  in time, the odds still strongly favor Barack Obama."

 So, for example, if he holds his lead in these states, he wins.   And the debate performance tonight will help solidify any leads he has right now.

 Iowa (6), Nevada (6), Ohio (18), Wisconsin (10)