Monday, March 24, 2014

What would El Nino do?


If we have an El Nino this year, there might be GEOPOLITICAL implications.

As discussed here:
El Niño Geopolitics

"The risks of El Niño are numerous, including increased drought and fire risk in India and Australasia, diminished food production in the Asia-Pacific region with potential ramifications throughout the global marketplace, a potential increase for severe Pacific storms (look no further than the devastation caused by Typhoon Haiyan last year to gauge potential implications), to a very unwelcome potential setback in Africa’s Sahel food security situation. 
In addition, based on research led by Solomon Hsiang and published in the journal Nature, a positive correlation can be drawn across the globe’s tropics correlating increases in conflict in nations impacted by El Niño."
I.e., the warmer it gets, the more fightin' there is. Which is a macro- situation comparable to the increase in violent crime that accompanies heat waves.




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