Tuesday, June 2, 2020

How goes it in Wisconsin?


Wisconsin has it tough.   They had to suffer through Scott Walker's governorship, and now they have a legislature of Republican commandos who try every means possible (most of them nefarious) to thwart the decent governing efforts of the recently elected Democratic governor.   And the Supreme Court, which still has a conservative Republican majority (sad as that is), continues to rule in ways that are against the public good.

So, let's review the most recent travesty of justice.  The governor attempted to extend his stay-at-home order, but that was overruled by the aforementioned idiots on the Supreme Court, and this allowed numerous Wisconsinites to get out of the house and into the crowded bar, to do one of the things Wisconsinites do well -- drink.  Beer gets the publicity, but anything in the category of "contains alcohol"  does the job.

So, to review, the WI SC  (ha ha ha!) overruled the governor on Wednesday, May 13, and many Badgers hit the bars that day.  So if you give COVID-19 five days to start sickening those infected, there should have been an uptick in cases starting around May 18 or so.

So what happened?   I'll consult the New York Times.

You can see where May starts, on a rising trend.  Then there's a dip in the infection rate.  The low point of the dip is May 13.   If you use this interactive graph online, you can see how many new cases of infections there were each day.

May 14:   377
May 15:   574
May 16:   514
May 17:   203
May 18:   151
May 19:   279
May 20:   573
May 21:   318
May 22:   665
May 23:   428
May 24:   377
May 25:   284

So five days after the bar crawl, er, reopening, May 18 didn't have a big number of cases.  But if we assume more people like to hit the bars on the weekend, then the "big days" would be May 15 and May 16, Friday and Saturday.  Five days after May 15 is May 20.    And the new cases hit 573.  Slight fall-off the next day, but a big comeback on the 22nd.

It's not scientific in the slightest, but it is more than just a bit suggestive that the bar reopening that was aided and abetted (not using that phrase incorrectly) by the WI SC sponsored a big increase in infections.,

Like I said, it's tough living in Wisconsin with the political alignment the way it is. But the conservative Republicans don't seem to have a problem making it easier to get sick and die.




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