The Climate Case of the Century
55 minutes ago
1943 (station established 1912). Active; focal plane 74 m (243 ft); white flash every 10 s. 62 m (203 ft) round cylindrical concrete tower with four ribs and lantern, painted with black and white horizontal bands.
This great lighthouse deserves to be better known: it is Brazil's tallest traditional lighthouse and one of the tallest concrete lighthouses in the world. It marks a headland near the northern end of the great curve of the Cabo de São Roque, the northeastern shoulder of South America. The first lighthouse was replaced by a 52 m (171 ft) cast iron tower in 1927.
Now that's a smile |
"Ledecky, a rising senior at Stone Ridge School of the Sacred Heart, touched in a time of 8 minutes 11.00 seconds to shave nearly two seconds off the previous record of 8:13.86, set last year at the FINA World Championships in Barcelona. This, just days after shattering the 1,500 freestyle world mark by 2.3 seconds."
During the passage of Hurricane Sandy |
"The reigning queen of distance swimming began her summer meet schedule by breaking her own world record in the 1,500-meter freestyle by two seconds at the Woodlands Swim Team Senior Invitational Meet in Shenandoah, Tex. — a summer tuneup meet her coach, Bruce Gemmell, added to the schedule because it was convenient."
"A senior in the fall at Stone Ridge School of the Sacred Heart, she finished in a time of 15 minutes 34.23 seconds, beating the old mark of 15:36.53. She did it coming down from altitude after spending 18 days at the Olympic Training Center in Colorado Springs with Gemmell and her Nation’s Capital Swim Club teammates."Though it wasn't planned training-wise, I have a little personal experience with the altitude training effect. Trust me, the return to sea level oxygen levels makes one feel supercharged. And I think Katie responded to that feeling.
"The goal... is to bring the passenger pigeon all the way back using the genome of the band-tailed pigeon and state-of-the-art genomic technology," wrote Revive & Restore. "The genomes of the two birds will be compared in close detail, to determine which differences are most crucial. The data and analysis will begin with the process of converting viable band-tailed DNA into viable passenger pigeon DNA."It'd be great to see then succeed. Then they can tackle bringing back the woolly mammoth. After that, maybe a couple of the freshwater dolphins that have gone missing. After that... well, there's a good long list.
James Audubon got to see passengers pigeons alive in the wild and painted this picture of them. |
The hiatus/pause talking point crops up frequently on Twitter. I've collected a couple of graphics which show that the main recent influence has been La Nina (colder surface water in the Pacific). Since we might be seeing the reversal this year, and since the warming has been like a step function, as you show in your plot, then the pause is inconveniently misleading what is really happening. In fact, La Nina years have warmed as well. This graphic puts the argument in a considerably altered perspective:Just checked back. There's 470 other comments now.
http://www.giss.nasa.gov/research/news/20140121/gi...
Second, it pay to really see how cold the last couple of years have been, which is holding the trend back. Remember that 2010 was a dead-heat tie with 1998 as the warmest year ever, with a very mild El Nino present. On this page, scroll down to the Oceanic Nino Index plot:
http://ggweather.com/enso/oni.htm
The past years coincident with the pause have been dominated by La Nina, and even when it wasn't officially La Nina, the ONI index has been negative a lot more than it has been positive. Regarding the models, El Nino/La Nina specific behavior is not well captured by them.
Also worth evaluating is the state of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. This has been indicated as having an influence on the frequency of occurrence and intensity of La Nina and El Nino. For the past decade, the PDO has been in the favorable phase encouraging to La Nina.
http://jisao.washington.edu/pdo/
So to answer your question, it IS temporary and length concerns are not evaluable. When the PDO switches and we have more El Nino state than La Nina state in the Pacific, temperatures will (unfortunately) rise rapidly and strongly. The other climate factors mentioned (solar, volcano, Arctic data) are secondary.
The problem is that the hiatus gives psychological support to denierism. And you just helped.
"Brothers in their short-sighted neglect of global warming, Canada and Australia’s prime ministers let cash rule everything around them.
That pained smile Harper adopts when forced to explain his most indefensible actions to a room full of doubters was much in evidence Monday when the two PMs showered the benefit of their wisdom upon ungrateful media hordes. The difference between us and them, we were reminded, is that other nations are hypocrites and we’re not. We’re upfront about it — the environment is not our issue. Other leaders may say they care; but they don’t.
Well, actually, some do care. But not Canada or Australia. Why should we? Just because Oz is burning up and beset with drought. Just because two-thirds of Australians will be diagnosed with skin cancer by the time they reach 70. Just because Canada was the only country of 27 studied by the Centre for Global Development whose record on the environment actually got worse last year. Just because the tarsands are synonymous with greed, environmental degradation and, in Archbishop Desmond Tutu’s word, “filth.” "
"Medieval history scholar Raffaello Glinni said that the 16th century tomb is covered in images and symbols of the House of the Transylvanian 'Carpathians', not in keeping with the tomb of an Italian nobleman.‘When you look at the bas-relief sculptures the symbolism is obvious’, he told Neapolitan newspaper Il Mattino.'The dragon means Dracula and the two opposing sphinxes represent the city of Thebes also called Tepes. In these symbols, Dracula Tepes, the very name of the count is written,’ he said.The researchers have now applied for official permission to investigate the grave"
"Ultimately, the group focused its investigation on the five strategies that appear to hold the most promise: reducing emissions, sequestering carbon through biological means on land and in the ocean, storing carbon dioxide in a liquefied form in underground geological formations and wells, increasing the Earth's cloud cover and solar reflection.
Of those approaches, none came close to reducing emissions as much as conservation, increased energy efficiency and low-carbon fuels would. Technology that is already available could reduce the amount of carbon being added to the atmosphere by some 7 gigatons per year, the team found."I will note that interestingly, burying biochar is also considered a useful strategy.
With the port (and yachts) in the background |
Close-up |
"I'm feeling a little hot. Can you help me with that?" |
"The budget plan rolled out Wednesday at a meeting of the House Appropriations Committee calls for holding most state spending at current levels to account for a projected budget shortfall that has swelled in recent weeks to $1.5 billion. The few exceptions are mostly in areas where the state is bound by certain legal or financial commitments, such as increasing school funding to match rising enrollment.
But most new spending that had been in earlier House or Senate budget plans — raises for teachers and state employees, expanded pre-kindergarten programs, inflation adjustments for hospitals — is gone. “There’s going to be a lot for everyone not to like tomorrow night,” S. Chris Jones (R-Suffolk), the committee’s chairman, said at a gathering with reporters afterward. He said he was just glad that the plan does not call for cuts from existing spending levels."
"The legislature is set to approve a budget. Financial turmoil is averted.
In addition, a perfect excuse has fallen in the Democrats’ lap to explain why McAuliffe failed to broaden Medicaid as promised. It was all the fault of the conniving GOP and that quitter, that renegade, that back stabber Phillip Puckett.
In fact, the Republican-dominated House of Delegates wasn’t going to approve Medicaid expansion, anyway. McAuliffe should say a quiet prayer of thanks to Puckett for giving him an easy out."Man, now we can look back on the governorships of Jim Gilmore and Mark Warner and think of them as the good ol' days in the Old Dominion.
"Smith said the volunteers [working for Cantor's opponent] found something interesting. Unlike in much of the rest of the country, the top issue for voters was not the economy, Smith explained. ...
But, she said, they found that many Republicans in the district were still unhappy with Cantor. He had voted to raise the debt ceiling. And he had supported a Republican version of the Dream Act, which would enable some illegal immigrants who entered the country as children to qualify for in-state college tuition rates. "
"Failure of Democratic voters to show up at the polls five months from now could mean a Republican-controlled Senate and a stalled presidential agenda for the next two years. Stalled is worse than gridlocked. Where gridlock assumes eventual movement, stalled is a nice way of saying “dead.” And just imagine the politically damaging nonsense (read investigations or even impeachment) a Republican-dominated legislative branch would pursue to tie down the lame-duck Obama in his last two years."
"Claims that the effects will be devastating are, however, not just wrong but inconsistent with what conservatives claim to believe. Ask right-wingers how the U.S. economy will cope with limited supplies of raw materials, land, and other resources, and they respond with great optimism: the magic of the marketplace will lead us to solutions. But they abruptly lose their faith in market magic when someone proposes limits on pollution — limits that would largely be imposed in market-friendly ways like cap-and-trade systems. Suddenly, they insist that businesses will be unable to adjust, that there are no alternatives to doing everything energy-related exactly the way we do it now."Yeah, that does seem inconsistent. I wonder why they do that?
"1888. Active; focal plane 36 m (118 ft); one long (1.5 s) white flash every 15 s. 20 m (66 ft) round stone tower with lantern and gallery. Entire lighthouse painted white. The lighthouse stands next to a second century Roman amphitheater. This handsome British Imperial tower is the best known and most visited lighthouse of Cyprus. Paphos is at the southwestern corner of the island, where the lighthouse served as the landfall light for ships arriving from Britain. Located on a promontory projecting into the Mediterranean at Paphos."
A far-out thought: Could you have sex in zero-gravity? Well, the idea has yet to be tested as far as anyone knows, though if the human race were to colonize another orb it'd be key, albeit, tricky. "Sex is very difficult in zero gravity, apparently, because you have no traction and you keep bumping against the walls," biologist Athena Andreadis of the University of Massachusetts Medical School told SPACE.com, a sister site to LiveScience. "Think about it: you have no friction, you have no resistance."How long do we have to wait for the SPACE HOTELS?
"According to a leaked Environment Canada document, the agency has noticed that 'Media coverage of climate change science, our most high profile issue, has been reduced by over 80 per cent.'Critics say the government is seeking to 'muzzle' scientists from speaking about climate change.According to a study by the Professional Institute of the Public Service of Canada, many federal scientists feel they are unable to speak openly in their areas of expertise.
'90 per cent [of federal scientists] feel they are not allowed to speak freely to the media about the work they do and that, faced with a departmental decision that could harm public health, safety or the environment, nearly as many (86 per cent) would face censure or retaliation for doing so,' reads the report.
'Federal scientists are facing a climate of fear,' says PIPSC president Gary Corbett, 'a chill brought on by government policies that serve no one’s interests, least of all those of the Canadian public."
"But the long game may matter a whole lot more. To understand how some Dems see this, look back at this Pew poll from last fall. It shows that the very voter groups who could continue giving Dems a demographic edge in national elections — the same groups that Republicans must broaden their appeal among — overwhelmingly believe there is solid evidence of global warming:So no matter what bilge Morano spills, it's not changing the minds of those who will count; the ones who are numbered above. The wind is changing and the tide is turning, no matter what the dissenters and the deniers try to say.
* 73% of those aged 18-29 believe it’s happening.Meanwhile, far more Republicans remain skeptical of global warming, but this is largely driven by Tea Party Republicans. While 61 percent of non-Tea Party Republicans believe there is solid evidence of global warming, only 25 percent of Tea Party Republicans believe this."
* 76 percent of nonwhites believe it’s happening.
* 67 percent of college educated whites believe its happening.