Sunday, November 29, 2009

Who hacked the CRU emails? I suspect Russian teenagers

I haven't seen a lot of chatter about who actually might have done the CRU hack. I'm surprised there hasn't been more speculation (but the investigators may be playing it very close to the vest to try not to tip the perps and perhaps lose the electronic trail, if there is one.)

The little that was revealed over on RealClimate indicated that the RealClimate server was invaded from a server in Turkey connected to Russia (I think I got that right) and the file with the hacked emails was posted on a Russian server.

Is it too obvious to think that Russia might have had something to do with this?

Here's what I think. And I'm probably wrong. But if I'm thinking, I'm still existing, right?

1. Russia, and probably in particular a few very wealthy petro-dollar Russians, have a lot to gain from continuing the oil flow to the West. They've used it to manipulate the Ukraine (actually on natural gas, but it's a related issue.) It's still one of Russia's main sources of income. If a climate change deal was inked in Copenhagen (even some progressive agreements), then they stand to start losing the energy income.

Pic: Oil rigs near Baku, Azerbaijan

2. There are lots of hackers in Russia (many of them teenagers) writing viruses for profit. Think I'm kidding? Never encountered one? According to reports, some of the most insidious viruses are those that capture commercial correspondence (i.e., when you use your credit card for an Internet purchase), and send the information to Russian organized crime syndicates. Not that I enjoy quoting Fox News, but still: Cybercrime more widespread, skillful, dangerous than ever has this:

"We even have proof of actual job listings on Russian-language sites offering lucrative pay for coders who can create exploits and launch denial-of-service attacks. We've seen evidence of skilled hackers stealing corporate data on behalf of competitors. This isn't just about credit card and bank information. It has all the elements of traditional mafia-type crime," Melnick said.

Roger Thompson, a computer security pioneer who created the first Australian anti-virus company in the late 1980s, is convinced the secretive Russian mafia is masterminding the use of sophisticated rootkits in botnet-seeding Trojans.

"They are paying to recruit bright young hackers and using teenage kids around the world to move money around. They're into everything: spyware installations, denial-of-service shakedowns, you name it. It's the traditional mafia finding it easy to make money on the Internet," said Thompson, who now runs Exploit Prevention Labs in Atlanta.

3. So add that up and you have motivation - derail the Copenhagen Express (well, maybe they were worried about it...) and method by doing something probably very simple, hacking into a research unit and stealing emails that shed a bad light on climate science. Recruit and pay the skilled Russian teenage hackers to crack the site and raid the server. Recruit and pay one or two unemployed (or just under-paid) and maybe a little disaffected Russian climate researchers to read through the emails and find the most incriminating ones, and compile them into a file. Publish your results and let the feeding frenzy begin. And while the climate treaty proceedings stall and the skeptical chorus howls at the moon in major Western countries (United States, England, Australia, etc.) keep watching your petrodollars flow in.

One wonders, if I'm right, if the perps or their sponsors had an insight into the American political progress and realized how a couple of Senators from low-population, highly conservative states can unduly influence and stagnate proceedings in the Senate. Yes, I mean Senator Inhofe.

Quick thoughts on the Tiger Woods incident

1. Never drive when you're angry at 2 AM.

2. If Tiger was having an affair, what the H*LL was he thinking? Quoting Rick Reilly (when Tiger was engaged to Elin): "... and engaged to a Swedish nanny so freaking gorgeous that rivers stop and take a look." I think the Eva Longoria Parker rules apply here; don't even think about it. And my hunch is, he didn't even think about it.

3. If Tiger didn't do it, what the H*LL was Elin thinking going after him? You'd think she'd understand the tabloids by now. This is one of the most lucrative gigs in town (being his wife -- not that I'm saying that she's in it for the money, she very likely is deeply in love with him) -- my point is, are you going to risk his livelihood, not to mention his place in sporting history, without significant corroboration? I would HOPE that she didn't go nine-iron on him just because of an article in the National Enquirer, but if you're stuck at home with a toddler and a 10-month old while your uber-rich hubby is jetting around the world to play GOLF (and GOLF has caused a lot of marital friction in much less moneyed households than the Woodses) -- maybe you are on the edge of going a little bit cabin-crazy and it only takes a slanted article to push you into a blazing rage.

4. I hope there's nothing to it; I hope he recovers; and if the report is untrue, the Enquirer should fire the reported. Because this is what happens when good people are maligned by innuendo.

Likewise for the brave climate scientists who have been unjustly and unthinkingly (because a vast number of climate change skeptics have very little actual intellectual capacity) attacked because of the stolen emails. Next post (actually the one above this).

Saturday, November 28, 2009

Underestimating our consumptive aptitude

Survey sees energy efficiency slipping down consumer priority list

"The survey also found that consumers are willing to watch their energy bills go up more than 70 percent, on average, before feeling forced to make energy-efficient home improvements. Respondents said their bills would need to go up an average of $129 a month to make them undertake renovations. “We call this phenomenon the ‘Apathy Gap,’ the price people are willing to pay to do nothing,” Shelton says. “Here consumers are willing to waste more than $1,500 a year, or more than $4 a day, before they’ll take action. For that same amount, a homeowner could install insulation or purchase one or two new Energy Star appliances to start seeing immediate savings.”

In related news:
Cash for Clunkers, household edition

It's spelled A-L-B-E-D-O

NASA has produced an incredible resource of data visualizations and environmental change images:


Climate Essentials


so I have to forgive them for the one typo which I have cited in the title of this posting.

An example:













From here:

Amazon deforestation

Friday, November 27, 2009

International birdwatching, weekend edition: Shilpa Shetty

India occasionally produces breathtaking international beauties: Shakira Caine, Aishwarya Rai are a couple of examples; I'm sure there's more. One such more is Shilpa Shetty, who just very recently got married, and previously was the winner of a round of Celebrity Big Brother. Oh, and she also owns a cricket team. She got in a bit of totally unwarranted trouble when Richard Gere made kissy-face with her (for fun).

Shilpa Shetty throws ANOTHER wedding party as she glitters in gold sari

Below are links to a half-dozen examples of Shilpa's glam appeal:

1. One of the most provocative fully-clothed pictures I've ever seen

2. Traditional beauty, cleavage edition

3. Satin sheets; there is just so much to like here (sensual and safe)

4. Just plain gorgeous

5. A very NICE dress

6. Red carpet in black

New Zealand passes climate bill; Australia on the edge of something

New Zealand passed a climate change cap-and-trade bill! Good new even though New Zealand is a pretty small emitter. But they showed the way and took a courageous move, despite having to make sausage with the Maoris. (Seems like Polynesian islanders do have a stake in this, so I'm glad they signed on.) Now, according to the linked article below, Australia was nearly there, but parliamentary maneuvers may make it necessary to have a new election to pass it.

Boy, this is a fun issue, isn't it?


Cap & trade: NZ commits, Australia wavers

A small bit of good news for world's fish

News out that despite ICCAT's punt on bluefin tuna, there's a new treaty that just about everyone will sign -- a treaty outlawing illegal fishing. Now, if it was already illegal, wasn't it outlawed? Well, apparently not: a lot of countries were tacitly condoning it. Basically, now there shouldn't be any haven ports for pirate fishing vessels.

We can hope so, at least. The world's fish need every break they can get.

FAO signs treaty against illegal fishing


Because the less of this, the better: