Tuesday, August 30, 2022

A bigger boom

 

Krakatoa.  Pinatubo.  Novarupta.  Tambora.  Hunga-Tonga.

What do all of these multi-syllabic names have in common?

BIG volcano eruptions.

And there's an odds-on prediction that there's a 16.7% chance, whatever that means, that an even bigger one could happen this century.

It had better hurry up, because I know I won't be seeing the end of this century.

Now, I originally found this in the Daily Mail, and I think it's kind of cheesy that they used a promotional artwork for the movie Pompeii as the first illustration.  They're basically saying that there's a 1/6 chance of a "Volcanic Explosive Index" (VEI) eruption reaching at least a 7.  Vesuvius in AD 79 was only a 5.

Hunga-Tonga was a 6.

Here's a more scientific take on this prediction.

Risk of volcano catastrophe 'a roll of the dice,' say experts

This article describes some of the steps that should be taken, in the authors' opinion, to get ready in case of geological immolation (or something close to it).   Maybe we should pay attention. 





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